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-Garrett

Weather & Random Thoughts

The Storm Prediction Center has us in a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow. We probably will get some quick downpours and brief gusty winds but I think the chance for any tornadoes looks better in places like Missouri where there will be better upper level support.

Here's the SPC Day1 Outlook:

Now for random thoughts! I just have one thing to say-the Orlando Magic better win tonight!

Keep it local!

Elissia

Quiet Weather... Blog

Working on getting blog moved over to a new server...

No active weather this weekend, highs in the 80s and 90s with sunny skies. Rain by Monday or Tuesday of next week.

Garrett

Wednesday's Rain

Some of the first measurable rainfall for the month of June will occur tomorrow. Looking back, May was a very wet month! In Fayetteville we had 7.95" of rain and in Fort Smith rainfall totals came to 8.91".

In June we usually receive 4.30" of rain and by the time tomorrow's cold front moves out we could see anywhere between 0.25-1.00".

Here's the QPF through Wednesday evening:


Enjoy the rain!

Elissia

It's June 1st!!!

Hey it's June 1st and you know what that means; it's the first official day of hurricane season. Ok so let's take a look and see what's out there shall we!

Here's the latest from the National Hurricane Center.




And here's what there saying:
A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILESNORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS IS PRODUCING WINDS TO NEARGALE FORCE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAVEBECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THISSYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER COOLER WATERS DURING THENEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OFTHIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

Ok, so all that pretty much means there's nothing going on right now but here's a cool picture of this low.


If you are planning on keeping up with the names this tropical season here's the list for 2009.
Ana Bill Claudette
Danny Erika Fred
Grace Henri Ida
Joaquin Kate Larry
Mindy Nicholas Odette
Peter Rose Sam
Teresa Victor Wanda

Keep It Local!

Elissia

A Warm End To The Month

Today was one of the warmest days that we've had for the month of May! Just last Wednesday temperatures were in the 60s and 70s but today we were in the 80s and 90s.

It looks like our warm pattern will be interrupted on Wednesday with some showers and thunderstorms but don't worry, the warmth will return by the end of the week!

Here's a look at the QPF through Wednesday.

We could possibly pick up 0.25"-0.50" of rain between Northwest Arkansas and the River Valley.

Elissia

Warmer For The Weekend!

We could see our first 90 degree readings of the season this weekend.

Here's a map of surface temperatures among other things. Notice the light orange color across Oklahoma and Arkansas; that indicates temperatures closing in on 90 degrees or more.

Enjoy the warm weather!

Elissia

Tropical Depression #1

Here we go.... the first tropical system of the year! Below is the public advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

WTNT31 KNHC 281449
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0120091100
AM EDT THU MAY 28 2009

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THATPASSED TO THE EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS YESTERDAY HAS BECOME A TROPICALDEPRESSION...THE FIRST OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONEWAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND AND ABOUT 635MILES...1020 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...AND THISGENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. THE DEPRESSION IS NOT EXPECTED TO THREATEN ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERTHE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THEN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATEOVER COLDER WATERS BY SATURDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

....SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...37.3N 71.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BEVEN


Brad

Low over NWA

The low pressure is centered right over NWA with more showers and thunderstorms developing with peak daytime heating. Look for additional rain to move across the region overnight tonight into tomorrow and continuing until the low moves across our area. Drier weather for later this week.

-Garrett

I'm Glad It's Not August!!

Visible Sat Image On Sunday Afternoon


Well it looks like we’re in the middle of hurricane season with this low (upper low) spinning right over Arkansas. LOL! It kind of reminds me of Gustav and Ike from last year! Do you remember those storms? Of course those were tropical systems and this one is not.
Luckily for us and Florida (I know they’re breathing a sigh of relief) hurricane season doesn’t begin until June 1st. Most of the time it’s highly unlikely for tropical systems to impact our area but we had two that did last year. I’m glad this is not the middle of July or August. Hopefully this is not a hint to what we can expect this year, hmmmmmmm!

Water Vapor Image From Sunday Afternoon

Elissia